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2022 Grammy Award Nominations: Who Will Have a Chance to Win?

The 2022 Grammy Award nominations are out now! The 64th annual Grammy Award show will air Monday, January 31, exclusively on CBS and Paramount+. The Grammy Awards recognize recordings released between Sept. 1, 2020 — Sept. 30, 2021. This year’s top Grammy nominees were Doja Cat, Justin Bieber, and H.E.R. with eight nominations. Jon Batiste followed up with 11, the most nominations of the night. Here are MEFeater’s predictions for the 2022 Grammy Awards.

Album of The Year

Prediction: Following in the footsteps of its sister album Folklore, it’s a likely guess that Taylors Swift’s latest album Evermore will win Album of The Year in 2022. A close competitor is newcomer Olivia Rodrigo’s debut album SOUR.

Song of The Year

Prediction: In terms of credits for songwriting Olivia Rodrigo has received high praise, especially her bridges. With that sentiment, it would be a surprise if “driver’s license” didn’t end up winning Song of The Year.

“drivers license” Olivia Rodrigo

Record of The Year

Prediction: One of the top contenders for this category is “Happier Than Ever” Billie Eilish, taking home the award for the third year in a year.

“Happier Than Ever” Billie Eilish

Best New Artist

Prediction: It’s clear who the winner might be, Olivia Rodrigo. With the initial success of Rodrigo’s debut album SOUR, it’s no wonder why Rodrigo is a shoo-in for the award. Let’s just hope Rodrigo follows after recent predecessors and avoids the rumored ‘Best New Artist curse’. The Best New Artist curse is a superstition that whoever wins the award will be a one-hit-wonder unable to keep up the momentum after winning. Rodrigo could likely follow in the footsteps of predecessor Billie Eilish at the 2019 Grammys, winning all four main categories (Best New Artist, Record of The Year, Song of The Year, and Album of The Year).

Olivia Rodrigo

Pop Nominations

After an unsuccessful year at the Grammys in 2021, losing Best New Artist, Record of the Year (for the song “Say So”), and Pop Solo Performance (also for “Say So”). Doja Cat is back with more than double the Grammy nominations from the previous year. With Doja Cat’s newest album, Planet Her, nominated for Album of the Year and Best Pop Vocal Album. Including the hit collaboration “Kiss Me More” featuring SZA nominated for Best Pop Group/Duo Performance.

Best Pop Vocal Album

Prediction: This is tough decision seeing as the majority of the nominees are frontrunners with at least seven nominations. The top two contenders for this award would have to be Olivia Rodrigo, SOUR or Doja Cat, Planet Her (Deluxe), both equally popular albums with songs that defined the year 2021. Don’t rule out Billie Eilish, Happier Than Ever or Ariana Grande, Positions to win the award.

Best Pop Group/Duo Performance

Prediction: Looking at the past winners in this category, Lil Nas X Featuring Billy Ray Cyrus “Old Town Road” (2019) and Lady Gaga with Ariana Grande “Rain on Me” (2020). It seems that the Best Pop Group/Duo Performance is typically awarded to the most popular collab song of the year. This year the award can be predicted to either go to Doja Cat “Kiss Me More” featuring SZA or ”Butter” BTS.

“Kiss Me More” Doja Cat featuring SZA

R&B Nominations

Four-time Grammy Award-winning artist H.E.R. earned eight nominations this year bringing her total Grammy nominations up to 21. Four out of the eight nominations fell underneath the R&B category including Best R&B Album (for Back of My Mind) and Best Traditional R&B Performance (for “Fight For You”). As well as both Best R&B Performance and Best R&B Song (for “Damage”). Meanwhile, Jon Batiste 11 time Grammy nominee, spanned across R&B categories like Album of the Year (for We Are), Record of the Year (for “Freedom”), and more. Either of these artists may dominate the R&B wins.

Best R&B Album

Prediction: Everyone one of these albums is uniquely beautiful and deserving to win. Jon Batiste We Are, or H.E.R. Back of My Mind are a top contender to win Best R&B Album.

Best Traditional R&B Performance

Prediction: This award can most likely be expected to go to one of the frontrunners Jon Batiste or H.E.R. but, any of the other nominees would be a great winner as well.

Best R&B Song

Prediction: This is a hard category to predict who will win. This would be a first-time win for SZA, Giveon, and Jazmine Sullivan.

Best R&B Performance

The song “Peaches” came as a surprise nomination for the category of Best R&B Performance. This recognition is the result of an Instagram post uploaded by Bieber last year after the 2021 Grammy nomination announcement. In the post, Bieber stated that Changes is an R&B album, despite nomination for Best Pop Vocal Album. This year, Bieber’s newest album Justice was nominated in both the R&B and Pop categories.

Prediction: For this award, gotta give it up to “Leave the Door Open.” Silk Sonic had one of the best performances debuting at the 63rd Grammy’s last year. It would be a full-circle moment to collect the award one year after its debut.

“Leave The Door Open” Silk Sonic

Rap Nominations

Best Melodic Rap Performance

Prediction: It would be a win for women in rap if Doja Cat won this award, as the only woman nominated and without a feature as well.

“Need To Know” Doja Cat

Best Rap Song

  • “Family Ties” Baby Keem featuring Kendrick Lamar
  • “Bath Salts” DMX featuring Jay-Z & Nas
  • “Jail” Kanye West featuring Jay-Z
  • “M Y . L I F E” J. Cole featuring 21 Savage & Morray
  • ”Best Friend” Saweetie featuring Doja Cat

Prediction: This is a hard toss-up, seeing as any one of these songs could win. The award could go to “Bath Salts” DMX featuring Jay-Z & Nas, who sadly passed away earlier this year. Or a surprise but welcomed win would be “Best Friend” Saweetie featuring Doja Cat.

Best Rap Album

  • J Cole The Off-Season
  • Drake Certified Lover Boy 
  • Nas King’s Disease II
  • Tyler, The Creator Call Me If You Get Lost
  • Kanye West Donda

Prediction: This is an interesting catalog of nominees, seeing as two of the most anticipated albums of the year Drake’s Certified Lover Boy and Kanye West’s Donda, were pitted against each other in competition. However, Drake recently took himself out of the equation by withdrawing both of his grammy nominations. Although it is unclear his reasons for doing so, the act will likely bring more attention to the awards show. It will be interesting to watch and see which one of the albums ends up winning or if any of the other nominees like J Cole The Off-Season win the award. Make sure to keep an eye out for Tyler, The Creator, and Nas, as the two most recent winners in this category.

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